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Weekly Fundamental Analysis

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast - 11 June - 15 June

EUR/USD broke a long losing streak and recovered from the lows, albeit not closing on the highs. After things calmed down in Italy, the euro got another boost from the ECB. The central bank will debate an exit from the QE

AUD/USD Weekly Forecast - 4 June - 8 June

AUD/USD eventually trod water as the page turned onto June. Australian data mostly disappointed with capital expenditure rising by only 0.4% and building approvals plunging by 5%. The US Dollar gained some ground on an upbeat jobs report which showed…

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast - 4 June - 8 June

EUR/USD continued suffering from Italian politics once again after a short respite. Italy’s President rejected the Euroskeptic candidate for Finance Minister, Paolo Savona triggering widespread anger also against the EU. Fears of early elections that would be a de-facto vote on…

GBP/USD Weekly Forecast - 4 June - 8 June

GBP/USD managed to close the week on higher ground for a change. The pound was driven mostly by the crisis in Italy that hit the euro and took the pound down with it. A flight to safety did not help Sterling.…

GBP/USD Weekly Forecast - 28 May - 1 June

Not all UK figures missed expectations. While inflation dropped to 2.4% y/y, retail sales leaped by 1.6%, providing promises of a Spring comeback. Q1 GDP growth remained unchanged at 0.1% q/q. Yet GBP/USD also depends on the US Dollar, which…

AUD/USD Weekly Forecast - 28 May - 1 June

AUD/USD managed to weather the risk-off sentiment and to hold its ground. Australia’s Construction Work Done measure disappointed by rising by only 0.2% q/q but an upward revision softened the blow. RBA Governor Phillip Lowe did not provide any earth-shattering…

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast - 28 May - 1 June

EUR/USD failed in another attempt to recover and hit 6-month lows and is already more than 900 pips off the highs. German GDP disappointed with a growth rate of only 0.3% q/q in the first quarter while inflation was confirmed at…

AUD/USD Weekly Forecast - 21 May - 25 May

AUD/USD closed another week on the downside but managed to stabilize. Australian retail sales disappointed by remaining flat and home loans fell more than expected. However, the NAB Business Confidence increase from 8 to 10 points. The bigger driver was…

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast - 21 May - 25 May

EUR/USD had another negative week, falling to the lowest levels in 5 months. PMI figures and the ECB meeting minutes stand out in coming week’s events. German GDP disappointed with a growth rate of only 0.3% q/q in the first quarter…

GBP/USD Weekly Forecast - 21 May - 25 May

GBP/USD was under the cosh for another week, struggling with local data and the renewed strength of the US Dollar. UK wages rose by 2.6%, slightly worse than 2.7% expected. In addition, the Claimant Count Change showed a jump in jobless…

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