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Slowing U.K. GDP to Undermine GBP/USD Rebound

GBP/USD appears to be making a run at the monthly high (1.3126) as it initiates a series of higher highs & lows, but the 2Q U.K. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report may undermine the rebound in Cable as the growth rate is expected to slow to an annualized 1.7% from 2.0% during the first three-months of 2017.

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UK CPI down to 2.6% in June

The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs (CPIH, not a National Statistic) 12-month inflation rate was 2.6% in June 2017, down from 2.7% in May 2017. This is the first fall in the CPIH inflation rate since April 2016, although it remains higher than in recent years. Falling prices for motor fuels and certain recreational and cultural goods and services were the main contributors to the fall in the rate. These downward contributions were partially offset by rising prices for furniture and furnishings. The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate was 2.6% in June 2017, down from 2.9% in May 2017.

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UK housing market shrugs off concerns of Brexit slowdown

The UK housing market is shrugging off concerns in the wider economy following the Brexit vote, compounding problems for many first-time buyers still wrestling with the strongest year-on-year price rises in the market. There are more buyers and sellers in the wider market compared with the period around the referendum a year ago, with the number of sales agreed up by 4.6% in June 2017 compared with June 2016, the latest survey by property website Rightmove found.

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UK public finances face twin threat from Brexit and downturn, says OBR

Britain’s public finances are in worse shape to withstand a recession than they were on the eve of the 2007 financial crash a decade ago and face the twin threat of a fresh downturn and Brexit, the Treasury’s independent forecaster has warned. The Office for Budget Responsibility – the UK’s fiscal watchdog – said another recession was inevitable at some point and that Theresa May’s failure to win a parliamentary majority in last month’s election left the public finances more vulnerable to being blown off course than they were in 2007. Read more...

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