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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast – 25 January – 29 January

After it initially fell during the last week, mostly due to dovish Governor Carney's comments regarding rate hike, Sterling found area slightly below 1.41 handle to be supportive enough in order to rebound by the end of the week, even break above 1.43 handle in the course of the Friday's session, though by the end of it pair pulled back. As for next week focus will be on UK GDP figures. Pair is likely to find support around 1.43 handle initially, and in a case of a larger decline, last week lows at 1.41 handle, while there is plenty of resistance above 1.43 handle extending all the way to 1.45 handle, so these are the key short-term buying and selling points.

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UK Retail Sales down 1.0%

Compared with November 2015, the quantity bought in the retail industry is estimated to have decreased by 1.0%. Analysts were expecting 0.1% decrease. When comparing the 2015 annual data with 2014, the quantity bought in the retail industry was estimated to have increased by 4.5%. The amount spent in the retail industry decreased by 1.0% in December 2015 compared with December 2014 and decreased by 1.4% compared with November 2015. The value of online sales increased by 8.2% in December 2015 compared with December 2014 and decreased by 5.2% compared with November 2015. Read more...

GBP/USD Daily Forecast – 22 January

There were no data releases from the UK yesterday. Sterling fell due to dovish comments from Bank of England Governor Mark Carney. The BOE head said he had no set timetable for raising interest rates, warning of more damage to come from a slowing Chinese economy. Painting a gloomy picture of the global economy, the Bank of England governor declared that ‘now is not yet the time to raise interest rates’ in Britain. It came as China’s slowing economy recorded its weakest pace of annual growth for a quarter of a century and the International Monetary Fund trimmed its outlook for the rest of the world.

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GBP/USD Daily Forecast – 22 January

Sterling was initially pushed lower in the course of the yesterday's session, all the way to below 1.41 handle, but managed to find support around 1.4080 level in order to turn around and form a hammer as a daily candle, which is of course positive sign, though only short-term looking. Tomorrow, we would pay attention to Retail Sales figures. Weaker than expected data would push pair back to 1.41 handle, while better than forecasted figures could bring rebound but with resistive points at 1.4250 and 1.4280 area.

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