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Thursday brought Australian Import Price data. Australian Import Price Index fell 3.0% in the March quarter 2016, missing forecasts on 0.9% decrease. Through the year to the March quarter 2016, the Import Price Index fell 0.5%. The Export Price Index fell 4.7% in the March quarter 2016. Through the year to the March quarter 2016, the Export Price Index fell 13.8%. CNBC reported that the Australian dollar was up 0.07% after dropping close to 1.8% at one point in the Wednesday session following fresh probability of monetary easing from the Reserve Bank of Australia after inflation unexpectedly fell. Ray Attrill, global co-head of foreign exchange strategy at the National Australia Bank, said following the drop in consumer price index on Wednesday, the bank now expects “a 25 basis points reduction in the Cash Rate to 1.75%” when the RBA meets next week.

In the US session GDP and Unemployment Claims figures were released. GDP increased at an annual rate of 0.5% in the first quarter of 2016, according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Analysts were expecting 0.7% increase. The increase in real GDP in the first quarter reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), residential fixed investment, and state and local government spending that were partly offset by negative contributions from nonresidential fixed investment, private inventory investment, exports, and federal government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.

 

In the week ending April 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 257,000, an increase of 9,000 from the previous week's revised level, in line with market forecasts. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 247,000 to 248,000. The 4-week moving average was 256,000, a decrease of 4,750 from the previous week's revised average. This is the lowest level for this average since December 8, 1973 when it was 252,250. The previous week's average was revised up by 250 from 260,500 to 260,750.

 

From Australia, tomorrow, PPI figures will be published. 0.2% incline is expected. In the US session Chicago PMI and Revised Consumer Sentiment figures will be released. Analysts are predicting decrease to 53.1 in GDP, while revised consumer sentiment should increase to 90.3 compared to a prelim reading.

 

Figures to watch:

 

PPI (Friday 3:30)

Chicago PMI (Friday 15:45)

Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment (Friday 16:00)

Last modified on Thursday, 28 April 2016

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