There were no data releases from Eurozone yesterday. The European Central Bank is unhappy with the US dollar’s recent fall but accepts it as a natural consequence of the Federal Reserve’s cautious economic outlook and sees no reason to act to weaken the euro, three ECB sources said. A weaker dollar is reducing imported inflation in the euro zone, making it harder for the ECB to boost prices after repeated bouts of negative inflation.
But with many big central banks easing monetary policy to stimulate sluggish economies, policymakers risk getting into costly currency wars, one ECB official said.
“We have to accept that the exchange rate channel is not working like it used to,” said an ECB insider who asked not to be named. With the Fed’s lowered rate path comes a weaker dollar and we need to avoid even the impression that we’re targeting the exchange rate.”
Focus of tomorrow's session will be on ZEW Economic Sentiment data. German sentiment is expected to rose to 8.2 points, while Eurozone index should increase to 13.6. In the US session Building Permits and Housing Starts figures will be released. Analysts are predicting no significant change.
Figures to watch:
German ZEW Economic Sentiment/ ZEW Economic Sentiment (Tuesday 11:00)
Building Permits/Housing Starts (Tuesday 14:30)