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With no major data releases from the UK yesterday, traders continue to watch the Brexit polls and remain unsure as what to expect as the June 23rd vote approaches. While consolidation helped to shore up the GBP ahead of the weekend the underlying trend continues to point towards further bearishness in the run-up to the EU membership referendum in June.

Friday’s UK trade data does not bode well for the UK economy going forward, as researchers at BBH note: ‘The macro-picture is one of a larger than expected budget and trade deficit in early 2016, as well as a weakening industrial sector.’ Given the continuing intensification of the ‘Brexit’ debate and the increasing drag which uncertainty is likely to have on the domestic economy in the coming months the Pound is expected to maintain a dovish bias.

 

There will be no data releases both from the UK tomorrow. In the US session Building Permits and Housing Starts figures will be released. Analysts are predicting no significant change.

 

Figures to watch:

 

Building Permits/Housing Starts (Tuesday 14:30)

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