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Focus of the yesterday's session was on BoE's rate decision and the following Minutes. Bank of England left interest rates on hold and warned that rising uncertainty over Brexit could hit the economy. The BoE’s monetary policy committee voted unanimously to leave borrowing costs at their current record low of 0.5%, extending a run dating back to March 2009. Policymakers also voted 9-0 to leave the Bank’s quantitative easing program unchanged at £375 billion.

In its meeting minutes, the BoE noted that rising uncertainty over a possible British exit from the European Union in the upcoming referendum on June 23 could hit economic demand. “There appears to be increased uncertainty surrounding the forthcoming referendum on UK membership of the European Union. That uncertainty is likely to have been a significant driver of the decline in sterling,” the minutes said.

 

In the US session Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Current Account figures were released. In the week ending March 12, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 265,000, an increase of 7,000 from the previous week's revised level, mostly in line with market forecasts. The previous week's level was revised down by 1,000 from 259,000 to 258,000. The 4-week moving average was 268,000, an increase of 750 from the last week's level.

 

Separate report on Philly Fed Manufacturing Index showed that index increased from a reading of -2.8 in February to 12.4 this month, its first positive reading in seven months, well above predictions on increase to -1.4. Both the current new orders and shipments indexes also showed improvement this month. The current new orders index returned to positive territory, increasing 21 points to 15.7. Nearly 37 percent of the firms reported an increase in new orders this month. 


Also, Current Account data was released. Current Account deficit decreased to $125.3 billion in the fourth quarter of 2015 from $129.9 billion (revised) in the third quarter. Analysts were expecting decrease to $117 billion. The deficit decreased to 2.8% of current-dollar gross domestic product (GDP) from 2.9% in the third quarter. The decrease in the current-account deficit was accounted for by decreases in the deficits on goods and secondary income and an increase in the surplus on services. These changes were partly offset by a decrease in the surplus on primary income.

 

There will be no data releases from the UK tomorrow. In the US session Consumer Sentiment figures are scheduled for a release. Analysts are predicting increase to 92.1 points.

 

Figures to watch:

 

Prelim Consumer Sentiment (Friday 15:00)

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