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ECB's Draghi says global forces are holding down inflation

Mario Draghi held a speech this morning at the Deutsche Bundesbank's Marjolin Lecture, in Frankfurt. He said that he sees no reason for permanently lower inflation and that specific Eurozone challenges don't justify inaction. He also added that mon pol can not be relaxed about aeries of supply shocks.


According to Draghi ECB will not surrender to low inflation, but he said that no doubt that if ECB needed to adopt a more expansionary policy the risk of side effects would not stand in their way. However, he emphasized that there are risks of acting too late outweigh risks of acting too early.

Euro is currently being traded around 1.1150 area. Pair is likely to find support around 1.1050 handle and resistance above 1.12 level. Later today, in the US session, Unemployment Claims figures are scheduled for a release.

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Draghi said low interest rates were not punishing savers

European Central Bank (ECB) boss Mario Draghi has hit back at critics of the bank's decisions to keep interest rates low and launch a €1.5 trillion (£1.1 trillion) asset purchase programme. Draghi, who last week hinted interest rates might be cut further, said low interest rates were not punishing savers. He said inflation adjusted returns did not tell this story and that a hike in interest rates would "simply push us back into recession and rates would stay lower for longer."
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Draghi warns more stimulus may be needed

At today’s meeting the Governing Council of the ECB decided that the interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will remain unchanged at 0.05%, 0.30% and -0.30% respectively.
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ECB likely to show concern with the tightening in financial conditions

The ECB January meeting and press conference (Thursday) are the most important events for the EUR this week, and while policy settings are widely expected to remain unchanged, dovish rhetoric should place downward pressure on the currency. In the statement and press conference, the ECB is likely to show concern with the tightening in financial conditions that has occurred since its December meeting, including 5% EUR NEER appreciation.  Read more...

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