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CBI Industrial Order Expectations survey showed a balance of -17%

According to the latest  CBI survey 12% of firms reported total order books to be above normal, and 29% said they were below normal, giving a balance of -17%. This was around average (-15%), and similar to January (-15%). Rain Newton-Smith, CBI Director of Economics, said: “Demand and output have remained relatively unchanged from January’s performance. The challenging outlook for the manufacturing sector has stabilised a little, with sterling having depreciated, but Britain’s manufacturers are still facing a difficult global situation. Read more...

Sterling down on Brexit concerns

The UK will vote on whether to remain in the EU on Thursday 23 June, Prime Minister David Cameron has said. The prime minister made his historic announcement in Downing Street after briefing the cabinet. He said he would be campaigning to remain in a reformed EU - and described the vote as one of the biggest decisions "in our lifetimes". Ministers immediately divided up into the leave and remain camps as the campaigns got under way in earnest.  Read more...

GBP/USD Daily Forecast – 22 February

Sterling went back and forth in the course of the session on Friday. Pair was initially pushed higher after better than forecasted UK Retail Sales figures, but then pulled back following US CPI reading, only to finally break once again higher above 1.43 handle. With no major data releases on Monday, pair is likely to find support around 1.4250 handle, and 1.42 handle in extension, as these were major resistive points in the past and resistance above 1.44 handle so this is where we would consider placing short-term selling bids.

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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast – 22 February – 26 February

Pound break below 1.43 handle in the course of the last week, despite rather good UK figures. This is of course a bearish sign, which indicates that pair is not ready for breaking higher at the moment. Focus of the next week will be on GDP figures. Weaker than expected data would push pair lower with support around 1.4250 and 1.42 level in extension, so this is where we would consider buying the pair in short term-trends. On the other hand, better than forecasted figures would lead to the uptrend all the way to 1.44 and 1.4480 handle where we can expect major resistance and short-term selling opportunity.

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