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Euro supported by better than forecasted PMI data

Business conditions strengthened at a solid pace in December as both output and new orders rose at sharper rates than in November. That said, the rate of job creation eased and was only marginal. Meanwhile, input costs continued to decrease and firms lowered their charges in response. The seasonally adjusted Markit Spain Purchasing Managers’ Index posted 53.0 in December in line with market forecasts, little-changed from 53.1 in November and signalling a further solid monthly improvement in the health of the sector.  Read more...

EUR/USD Daily Forecast – 04 January

Though there were no data releases from Eurozone, and US figures came to be weaker than expected, euro was pushed lower in the course of the Thursday's session, as these kind of movements do not come as a surprise in a holiday trading which often leaves only smaller traders to move the markets. With Friday being New Year's Day, trading will continue on Monday. Read more...

EUR/USD Weeky Forecast – 04 January – 08 January

Euro was traded in a tighter range in the course of the last week due to holiday season. However, after pair initially tested 1.10 handle as a resistance, it sharply pulled back and finished the week well below 1.09 handle. This is of course bearish sign, that indicates that pair could be heading towards low of recent consolidation range at 1.08 handle. Next week focus will be on Eurozone CPI data, FOMC Meeting Minutes and NFP report.

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EUR/USD Daily Forecast – 04 January

There were no data releases from Eurozone on Thursday. Traders who had reversed short bets after the European Central Bank's smaller-than-expected stimulus move early this month may have begun shorting the currency again, given the likelihood that higher rates in the United States will continue to boost the dollar.  “It may well be that some investors have started putting back some (euro) short bets on," said Greg Anderson, global head of FX strategy at BMO Capital Markets in New York. "People are expecting yields to be appealing in the United States, and that drives demand for dollar cash."

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