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Events that marked the week:

 

Tuesday's session brought ZEW Economic Sentiment figures. The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany increased in October 2016. The index gained 5.7 points compared to the previous month, now standing at a level of 6.2 points (long-term average: 24.1 points). "The improved economic sentiment is a sign of a relatively robust economic activity in Germany. However, positive impulses from industry and exports should not distract from existing political and economic risks. In particular, the risks concerning the German banking sector are currently a burden to the economic outlook," comments ZEW President Professor Achim Wambach.

The assessment of the current situation in Germany has also increased. Gaining 4.4 points, the index now stands at 59.5 points. Financial market experts’ sentiment concerning the economic development of the eurozone has improved notably. The respective indicator has increased by 6.9 points to a reading of 12.3 points. On the other hand, the indicator for the current situation in the eurozone declined by 2.3 points in October 2016 to a level of minus 12.8 points.

 

On Wednesday from Eurozone Industrial Production figures were published. In August 2016 compared with July 2016, seasonally adjusted industrial production rose by 1.6% in the euro area (EA19) and by 1.4% in the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In July 2016 industrial production fell by 0.7% in both zones. In August 2016 compared with August 2015, industrial production increased by 1.8% in both zones. The increase of 1.6% in industrial production in the euro area in August 2016, compared with August 2015, is due to production of durable consumer goods rising by 4.9%, capital goods by 2.6%, intermediate goods by 2.0% and energy by 1.5%, while production of non-durable consumer goods fell by 0.1%.

 

Friday brought Eurozone Trade Balance data. The first estimate for euro area (EA19) exports of goods to the rest of the world in August 2016 was €160.3 billion, an increase of 8% compared with August 2015 (€148.1 bn). Imports from the rest of the world stood at €141.9 bn, a rise of 4% compared with August 2015 (€136.9 bn). As a result, the euro area recorded a €18.4 bn surplus in trade in goods with the rest of the world in August 2016, compared with +€11.2 bn in August 2015. Intra-euro area trade rose to €121.6 bn in August 2016, up by 6% compared with August 2015.

 

This week markets will be looking at:

 

Minimum Bid Rate/ECB Press Conference (Thursday 14:30)

Last modified on Sunday, 16 October 2016

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