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Events that marked the week:

Monday's session brought UK Manufacturing PMI data. The end of 2015 saw the rate of growth in the UK manufacturing sector slow further from the recent peak reached in October. At 51.9 in December, the seasonally adjusted Markit/CIPS Purchasing Manager’s Index slipped back towards its long-run survey average of 51.5. Analysts were expecting slight incline to 52.8. Over the final quarter as a whole, the average readings for the headline PMI, Output Index, New Orders Index, New Export Orders Index and Employment Index were all above their respective averages. However, averages over 2015 were in each case below those achieved in 2014.

On Tuesday, from the UK, Construction PMI data was released. UK construction companies ended 2015 with a robust and accelerated expansion of overall business activity, thereby indicating a rebound from the slowdown recorded in November. The headline seasonally adjusted Markit/CIPS UK Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index registered 57.8 in December, up from a seven-month low of 55.3 in November. Analysts were anticipating smaller incline to 56.1. Higher levels of construction output have been recorded by the survey since May 2013, but the overall rate of expansion remained slightly weaker than seen on average over this period.

 

Wednesday's session was marked by Services PMI data. Service sector growth in the UK stabilised at a solid pace in December, according to the latest PMI survey data from Markit and CIPS. Total activity rose at a strong overall rate, supported by a sharp rise in new business. Employment increased at a robust pace, albeit the weakest in five months. Reflecting this, outstanding business continued to grow only modestly in December, and firms’ longer-term expectations for business activity were the weakest since early-2013. The index fell slightly to 55.5, from 55.9 in November, but remained just above the long-run survey trend level of 55.2, indicative of solid overall growth.

 

Friday brought UK Trade Balance data. The UK’s deficit on trade in goods and services was estimated to have been £3.2 billion in November 2015, a narrowing of £0.3 billion from October 2015. The narrowing is attributed to trade in goods where the deficit has narrowed from £11.2 billion in October 2015, to £10.6 billion in November 2015. This was in line with market forecasts. Between October 2015 and November 2015, the trade in goods narrowing was mainly the result of a fall in the import of goods of £0.9 billion to £33.9 billion. The narrowing is mainly attributed to a fall in imports of oil which decreased by £0.5 billion to £2.2 billion.

 

This week markets will be looking at:

 

Industrial Production (Tuesday 10:30)

Monetary Policy Summary (Thursday 13:00)

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