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Events that marked the week:

Wednesday's session was marked by French, German, Italian and Eurozone GDP data. In Q1 2015, French GDP in volume terms increased by 0.6%, after a stability in Q4 2014. Analysts were anticipating 0.4% increase. In the three first months of 2015, household consumption expenditure accelerated (+0.8% after +0.1%) while total gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) decreased again (–0.2% after –0.4%). Overall, total domestic demand (excluding inventory changes) increased: it contributed for +0.5 points to GDP growth (after +0.1 points in Q4 2014).

 German gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.3% from the fourth quarter of 2014 after adjustment for price, seasonal and calendar variations. Analysts were forecasting 0.5% growth. In the last quarter of 2014, a marked increase of 0.7% was recorded. The quarter-on-quarter comparison – following price, seasonal and calendar adjustment – shows that positive contributions mainly came from domestic demand, according to provisional calculations.

 

Seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.4% in both the euro area (EA19) and the EU28 during the first quarter of 2015, compared with the previous quarter. Rise by 0.5% was anticipated. Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 1.0% in the euro area and by 1.4% in the EU28 in the first quarter of 2015, after +0.9% and +1.3% respectively in the previous quarter.

 

Italian Gross domestic product rose 0.3% from the previous quarter, when it stagnated. Analysts were forecasting growth by 0.2%. Decline in the euro exchange rate and in oil price supported the economic growth in the first quarter.

 

This week markets will be looking at:

 

German ZEW Economic Sentiment/ ZEW Economic Sentiment (Tuesday 11:00)

French Flash Manufacturing PMI/French Flash Services PMI (Thursday 9:00)

German Manufacturing PMI/German Flash Services PMI (Thursday 9:30)

Flash Manufacturing PMI/Flash Services PMI (Thursday 10:00)

German Ifo Business Climate (Friday 10:00)

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