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Daily Fundamental Analysis

GBP/USD Daily Forecast – 28 December

There were no data releases from the UK yesterday. House price growth looks set to judder to a halt in 2018 or at best manage a small below-inflation rise, as the twin spectres of Brexit and rising interest rates put…

AUD/USD Daily Forecast – 28 December

There were no data releases from Australia yesterday, but from China Industrial Profit figures were published. Profit growth at Chinese industrial firms slowed in November as producer prices rebound appeared to soften. Industrial profits rose 14.9 percent last month from…

EUR/USD Daily Forecast – 26 December

Friday's session brought German Consumer Climate figures from Eurozone. Consumers in Germany still appear to be in high spirits at the end of 2017. Both economic and income expectations are on the rise, whilst propensity to buy has taken a…

GBP/USD Daily Forecast – 26 December

Friday's session was marked by UK Current Account and Final GDP figures. The UK’s current account deficit was £22.8 billion (4.5% of gross domestic product) in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2017, a narrowing of £3.0 billion from a revised…

AUD/USD Daily Forecast – 26 December

There were no data releases from Australia on Friday, with focus on commodity prices. Gold futures ended higher Friday, closing the books on back-to-back positive trading weeks and padding a year-to-date gain that’s near 10%. The metal built on modest…

EUR/USD Daily Forecast – 22 December

From Eurozone, yesterday, only Consumer Confidence figures were released. In December 2017, the DG ECFIN flash estimate of the consumer confidence indicator improved slightly in the euro area (+0.5 points to +0.5) and remained virtually flat in the EU (+0.1…

GBP/USD Daily Forecast – 22 December

Yesterday's session brought Public Sector Net Borrowing data from the UK: Public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks) decreased by £3.1 billion to £48.1 billion in the current financial year-to-date (April 2017 to November 2017), compared with the same…

AUD/USD Daily Forecast – 22 December

There were no data releases from Australia yesterday. Australia's Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) released on 18 December highlights a modest improvement in the fiscal outlook, largely reflecting a boost in tax collections, including from higher corporate profits in…

EUR/USD Daily Forecast – 21 December

Yesterday's session brought Eurozone Current Account figures. The current account of the euro area recorded a surplus of €30.8 billion in October 2017. This reflected surpluses for goods (€26.2 billion), primary income (€9.8 billion) and services (€7.3 billion), which were…

GBP/USD Daily Forecast – 21 December

Yesterday, from the UK, CBI Realized Sales survey results were released. Retail sales rose in the year to December, building further on November’s solid performance, according to the latest monthly CBI Distributive Trades Survey. 37% of retailers said that sales…

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