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According to dailyforex.com, the EUR/USD pair fell again during Friday trading, breaking down below the 1.1950 level. That of course is a negative sign, but we did recover a bit going into the weekend. I think that we could get a short-term rally, but I think that the 1.21 level will course continue to offer resistance as it was previous support. I think that any rally from this point should be a selling opportunity just waiting to happen. If we get some type of exhaustion, I would jump all over that.

One thing that I would say about this is that the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level has been reactive, but with interest rates rallying in the United States and the ECB likely to keep interest rates low for a longer amount of time, I think that this market will eventually try to break down. If it does, I think eventually we could be looking at the 1.15 level. If we break above the 1.2150 level, then we will probably try to retake the 1.25 handle.

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