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Focus of the yesterday's session was on UK CPI and PPI figures. The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs (CPIH) 12-month inflation rate was 2.7% in January 2018, unchanged from December 2017. The largest downward contribution to change in the rate came from prices for motor fuels, which rose by less than they did a year ago. The main upward effect came from prices for a range of recreational and cultural goods and services, in particular, admissions to attractions such as zoos and gardens, for which prices fell by less than they did a year ago. The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate was 3.0% in January 2018, unchanged from December 2017.

The headline rate of inflation for goods leaving the factory gate (output prices) rose 2.8% on the year to January 2018, down from 3.3% in December 2017. Prices for materials and fuels (input prices) rose 4.7% on the year to January 2018, down from 5.4% in December 2017. All industries provided upward contributions to output annual inflation; the largest contribution was made by food products. Prices of imported materials and fuels increased 3.5% on the year to January 2018, slowing from 5.2% in December 2017 and the lowest the rate has been since June 2016.

 

There will be no major data releases from the UK tomorrow. In the US session CPI and Retail Sales figures will be published. Analysts expect 0.4% increase in CPI and 0.2% incline in CPI.

 

Figures to watch:

 

Retail Sales (Wednesday 14:30)

CPI (Wednesday 14:30)

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