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There were no major data releases from Eurozone yesterday. Over the last few days, several ECB officials have pushed back against the market's hawkish read of the record of last month's meeting. The policy direction and sequencing is clear. The risks of deflation have ended. Activity has strengthened and broadened.  Inflation is still judged not to be on a sustainable and durable path toward the target. A rate hike will not be delivered until sometime after the purchases end. Most of the ECB has not been convinced by the hawks’ argument to specify a date certain to end the purchases. 

 

In the US session Building Permits, Housing Starts and Unemployment Claims figures were published. Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in December were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,302,000. This is 0.1 percent below the revised November rate of 1,303,000, but is 2.8 percent above the December 2016 rate of 1,266,000. Single-family authorizations in December were at a rate of 881,000; this is 1.8 percent above the revised November figure of 865,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 382,000 in December.

 

Privately-owned housing starts in December were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,192,000. This is 8.2 percent below the revised November estimate of 1,299,000 and is 6.0 percent below the December 2016 rate of 1,268,000. Single-family housing starts in December were at a rate of 836,000; this is 11.8 percent below the revised November figure of 948,000. The December rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 352,000.

 

In the week ending January 13, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 220,000, a decrease of 41,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 261,000. This is the lowest level for initial claims since February 24, 1973 when it was 218,000. The 4-week moving average was 244,500, a decrease of 6,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 250,750.

 

There will be no major data releases both from Eurozone and the USA tomorrow, so we can expect a bit steadier session.

Last modified on Thursday, 18 January 2018

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