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Yesterday's session brought Australian job figures. The Aussie economy added 34,700 jobs in December, massively ahead of the 15,000 forecast. Coming after a blockbuster set of November data this further surge might have been expected to boost the currency. But the devil appears to have been in the detail. Full-time jobs rose by ‘only’ 15,000, with part-time positions up by 19,500 (both were less than last month’s gains). The unemployment rate also edged up, to 5.5% from 5.4%. This was unexpected. Confusingly the overall participation rate did better, too, though. It edged up modestly to 65.7%.

 

From China GDP and Industrial Production data was released. China’s gross domestic product grew 6.8 percent in the October to December period from a year earlier. That was better than the 6.7 percent growth forecast by analysts in a Reuters poll and unchanged from the previous quarter. China reported other data as well.  Retail sales slowed into the year end, with December sales rising 9.4% year-over-year, down from 10.2% and the weakest since 2006.  Industrial output was a bit firmer than expected at 6.2% year-over-year and fixed increased rose 7.2%, the same year-over-year pace as in November. 

 

In the US session Building Permits, Housing Starts and Unemployment Claims figures were published. Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in December were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,302,000. This is 0.1 percent below the revised November rate of 1,303,000, but is 2.8 percent above the December 2016 rate of 1,266,000. Single-family authorizations in December were at a rate of 881,000; this is 1.8 percent above the revised November figure of 865,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 382,000 in December.

 

Privately-owned housing starts in December were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,192,000. This is 8.2 percent below the revised November estimate of 1,299,000 and is 6.0 percent below the December 2016 rate of 1,268,000. Single-family housing starts in December were at a rate of 836,000; this is 11.8 percent below the revised November figure of 948,000. The December rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 352,000.

 

In the week ending January 13, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 220,000, a decrease of 41,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 261,000. This is the lowest level for initial claims since February 24, 1973 when it was 218,000. The 4-week moving average was 244,500, a decrease of 6,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 250,750.

 

There will be no major data releases both from Australia and the USA tomorrow, so we can expect a bit steadier session.

Last modified on Thursday, 18 January 2018

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