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There were no data release from Eurozone yesterday. Strong growth continues in the euro area, but a sustained pickup in wages and inflation remains absent, with core at 1.1% y/y. The ECB will stress its sustained market presence as it reduces its pace of asset purchases in 2018, but interest rate rises are a question for 2019. EUR moves will be watched carefully, but so far the ECB has accepted that appreciation due to growth is not as big a risk to inflation”.

In the US session ADP employment and ISM Manufacturing PMI figures were released. Private sector employment increased by 235,000 jobs from September to October according to the October ADP National Employment Report. Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, said, “The job market rebounded strongly from the hit it took from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. Resurgence in construction jobs shows the rebuilding is already in full swing. Looking through the hurricane-created volatility, job growth is robust.”

 

The October PMI registered 58.7 percent, a decrease of 2.1 percentage points from the September reading of 60.8 percent. The New Orders Index registered 63.4 percent, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points from the September reading of 64.6 percent. The Production Index registered 61 percent, a 1.2 percentage point decrease compared to the September reading of 62.2 percent. The Employment Index registered 59.8 percent, a decrease of 0.5 percentage point from the September reading of 60.3 percent.

 

However, focus of the session was on FOMC interest rate decision and the following statement. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday and pointed to solid U.S. economic growth and a strengthening labor market while playing down the impact of recent hurricanes, a sign it is on track to lift borrowing costs again in December. "The labor market has continued to strengthen and ... economic activity has been rising at a solid rate despite hurricane-related disruptions," the Fed's rate-setting committee said in a statement after its unanimous policy decision.  In keeping with that encouraging tone, the central bank's policymakers acknowledged that inflation remained soft but did not downgrade their assessment of pricing expectations.

 

There will be no major data releases from Eurozone tomorrow. In the US session Unemployment Claims data will be published. Increase to 235,000 is forecasted.

 

Figures to watch:

 

Unemployment Claims (Thursday 13:30)

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