Separate report on China's Manufacturing PMI showed that manufacturing purchasing managers index increased to 51.7 in August, compared with the 51.3 forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists, and the 51.4 reading in July. The non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 53.4 compared with 54.5 in July. The unexpected jump, after an across-the-board cooling in July, highlighted stronger momentum on the factory floor as the government’s effort to curb overcapacity in industry pushed raw material prices higher. The challenge ahead for policy makers is to balance preserving the pace of growth with slowing the pace of credit expansion.
In the US session Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales and Chicago PMI figures were published. In the week ending August 26, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 236,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 234,000 to 235,000. The 4-week moving average was 236,750, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week's revised average. The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.4 percent for the week ending August 19, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate.
The Pending Home Sales Index a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, decreased 0.8 percent to 109.1 in July from a downwardly revised 110.0 in June. After last month’s decline, the index is now 1.3 percent below a year ago and has fallen on an annual basis in three of the past four months. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says the staggering inventory woes throughout the country continue to stall contract activity.
Separate report on Chicago PMI showed that the MNI Chicago Business Barometer remained stable at July’s level of 58.9, the joint-lowest level since April. While marking the eighteenth consecutive above-50 reading, this month’s unchanged result follows July’s sharp decline that snapped a run of five straight monthly increases in sentiment. Apart from Employment, all other components of the Barometer were above their respective levels seen last August with all of them were above their January levels, pointing to robust confidence among US firms.
There will be no major data releases from Australia tomorrow. In the US session NFP report and ISM Manufacturing PMI data will be published. Unemployment Rate should remain unchanged at 4.3%, while number of employed should increase by 180,000. ISM Manufacturing PMI should rise to 56.5.
Figures to watch:
Non-Farm Employment Change/Unemployment Rate (Friday 14:30)
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Friday 16:00)