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There were no major data releases from Eurozone yesterday. The CEPR Euro Area Business Cycle Dating Committee published on 7 August the first of its bi-annual regular reports on state of the Eurozone business cycle. It made three important points. First, the Eurozone expansion is continuing, admittedly slowly but creating employment at a rapid pace.  Second, although lacklustre, the Eurozone recovery from the Great Recession is commensurate with that of the US once the Eurozone double-dip sovereign debt recession is factored in. Finally, the heterogeneity in the pace of recovery of individual Eurozone member countries is driven by the heterogeneity in their recessions.

In the US session Unemployment Claims and Existing Home Sales figures were released. In the week ending August 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 234,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 232,000. The 4-week moving average was 237,750, a decrease of 2,750 from the previous week's unrevised average of 240,500.

 

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, slipped 1.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.44 million in July from a downwardly revised 5.51 million in June. July’s sales pace is still 2.1 percent above a year ago, but is the lowest of 2017.

 

From Eurozone tomorrow, German Business Climate figures will be released. Analysts predict decline to 115.5. In the US session Durable Goods Orders figures will be published. Decrease by 6.0% is anticipated.

 

Figures to watch:

 

German Ifo Business Climate (Friday 10:00)

Durable Goods Orders (Friday 14:30)

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