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From, Australia, yesterday, Building Approvals and Current Account figures were published. The trend estimate for total dwellings approved fell 1.0% in January and has fallen for 10 months. The seasonally adjusted estimate for total dwellings approved fell 7.5% in January following a rise of 8.6% in the previous month. Analysts were anticipating 2.7% decline. The seasonally adjusted estimate of the value of total building approved fell 10.7% in January following a rise of 0.4% in the previous month. The value of residential building fell 11.4% following a rise of 3.8% in the previous month. The value of non-residential building fell 9.2% and has fallen for two months.

Separate report on the current account deficit, showed that seasonally adjusted it increased $2,258m (12%) to $21,106m in the December quarter 2015. The deficit on the balance of goods and services increased $2,592m (35%) to $9,929m. The primary income deficit decreased $331m (3%) to $10,564m. In seasonally adjusted chain volume terms, the surplus on goods and services increased $19m from $8,491m in the September quarter 2015 to $8,510m in the December quarter 2015. This is expected to contribute 0.0 percentage points to growth in the December quarter 2015 volume measure of GDP.

 

From China, Manufacturing PMI data was released. The manufacturing purchasing managers index dropped to 49 in February, missing the median estimate of 49.4 in a Bloomberg News survey of economists. It hasn’t been weaker since January 2009. In a sign China’s slowdown is spreading, the non-manufacturing PMI -- which has been outperforming the factory measure -- fell to the lowest level since December 2008. A separate manufacturing reading from Caixin Media and Markit Economics fell to 48 in February, from 48.4 in January. On the official manufacturing measure, the new orders, employment and purchasing quantity components slipped.

 

However, the focus of the session was on RBA interest rate decision and the following statement. The Reserve Bank of Australia kept the cash rate unchanged again today at two per cent — where it has remained since May — leaving interest rates at historically low levels. In the following statement it was said that inflation is quite low. "With growth in labour costs continuing to be quite subdued as well, and inflation restrained elsewhere in the world, inflation is likely to remain low over the next year or two. The exchange rate has been adjusting to the evolving economic outlook."

 

"Over the period ahead, new information should allow the Board to judge whether the improvement in labour market conditions is continuing and whether the recent financial turbulence portends weaker global and domestic demand. Continued low inflation would provide scope for easier policy, should that be appropriate to lend support to demand," it was concluded.

                  

The February PMI registered 49.5 percent, an increase of 1.3 percentage points from the January reading of 48.2 percent. Analysts were anticipating smaller incline to 48.5. Comments from the panel indicate a more positive view of demand than in January, as 12 of our 18 industries report an increase in new orders, while four industries report a decrease in new orders.

 

Tomorrow's session will be marked by Australian GDP figures. Growth by 0.5% is forecasted.  In the US session ADP job figures will be released. Analysts predict incline by 185,000.

 

Figures to watch:

 

GDP (Wednesday 1:30)

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (Wednesday 14:15)

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