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From the UK, yesterday, Services PMI data was released. Service sector growth in the UK stabilised at a solid pace in December, according to the latest PMI survey data from Markit and CIPS. Total activity rose at a strong overall rate, supported by a sharp rise in new business. Employment increased at a robust pace, albeit the weakest in five months. Reflecting this, outstanding business continued to grow only modestly in December, and firms’ longer-term expectations for business activity were the weakest since early-2013. The index fell slightly to 55.5, from 55.9 in November, but remained just above the long-run survey trend level of 55.2, indicative of solid overall growth.

US session brought ADP job figures as well as Trade Balance data. Private sector employment increased by 257,000 jobs from November to December according to the December ADP National Employment Report. Analysts were anticipating increase by 193,000. "2015 had a strong close with December showing the largest job gains of the year,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, VP and head of the ADP Research Institute. “Overall, the average monthly employment growth was just under 200,000 for the year in contrast to almost 240,000 jobs per month in 2014. Weakness in the energy and manufacturing sectors was mostly responsible for the drop off.”

 

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $42.4 billion in November, down $2.2 billion from $44.6 billion in October, revised. No change was expected. November exports were $182.2 billion, $1.6 billion less than October exports. November imports were $224.6 billion, $3.8 billion less than October imports.

 

However, the focus of the session was on FOMC Meeting Minutes. Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates last month was a “close call” for some policy makers who worried about too-low inflation and received assurances that their colleagues would closely monitor its progress. “Some members emphasized the importance of confirming that inflation would rise as projected and of maintaining the credibility of the committee’s inflation objective,” said minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee’s Dec. 15-16 meeting, released Wednesday in Washington.

 

The minutes also indicated that some members believed “the risks attending their inflation forecasts remained considerable” even as “the committee was now reasonably confident in its expectation that inflation would rise, over the medium term, to its 2 percent objective.” The minutes showed “almost all” FOMC participants were “now satisfied the committee’s criteria for beginning the policy normalization process” had been met.

 

There will be no major data releases from the UK tomorrow. In the US session, Unemployment Claims figures are scheduled for a release. Analysts are anticipating decrease to 271,000.

 

Figures to watch:

 

Unemployment Claims (Thursday 14:30)

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