With no major data releases on yesterday, and with holiday season tighter range trading, markets are still speculating on fact is Sterling overpriced at the moment and when will BoE hike interest rates. Several Bank policymakers, including Governor Mark Carney and even hawkish rate-setter Martin Weale have played down the prospect of a rate rise in the next few months as a renewed fall in oil prices and weak wage growth keep inflation well below the Bank's 2pc target.
Deutsche Bank said more fiscal consolidation next year relative to this year would make it “challenging” for the Bank of England to raise interest rates if austerity weighed on growth. “[Since November] oil prices have fallen more and the inflation data are showing signs of slowing.
So if we don’t have a hiking cycle in the first half of next year, there is a risk that we don’t have a hiking cycle at all.” Markets currently expect the Bank to raise rates in January 2017.
As for tomorrow, we can expect less volatile session, as holiday season continue and there are no data releases from the UK. In the US session CB Consumer Confidence figures are scheduled for release. Analysts are anticipating increase to 93.9.
Figures to watch:
CB Consumer Confidence (Tuesday 16:00)