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With no data release on Friday and with markets being closed due to Christmas, which marks beginning of the holiday season, traders were looking more at global development, especially concerning China when it comes to Aussie. China's economy will grow at the slackest pace since 1990 next year, and the yuan will weaken by 4% against the dollar, economists in a Nikkei Inc./NQN survey predicted. Real gross domestic product is seen expanding 6.4% in 2016, the lowest since the year after the deadly Tiananmen Square protests, according to the average forecast of 22 economists responding to the recent write-in survey.

China's next five-year plan aims for average growth of at least 6.5% from 2016 to 2020. Forecasts of 2015 growth averaged 6.9%. The official numbers are due out next month, but some reckon the actual rate is as low as 5-6%. Many of the economists think China's declared shift to consumer-led growth from that driven by investment and exports will be a lengthy process. Xia Le at BBVA Research predicted that "growth will continue its downward trend in the next three years."

 

With no major data releases on Monday we can expect extension of holiday season and tighter-range trading.

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