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Yesterday's session was marked by UK Current Account and Final GDP data. The United Kingdom’s (UK) current account deficit was £17.5 billion in Quarter 3 (July to September) 2015, unchanged from a revised deficit of £17.5 billion in Quarter 2 (April to June) 2015. Deficit was expected to increase by £21.6 billion.The deficit in Quarter 3 (July to September) 2015 equated to 3.7% of gross domestic product (GDP) at current market prices, down from 3.8% in Quarter 2 (April to June) 2015. While the total current account balance remained unchanged in Quarter 3 (July to September) 2015 there are equal and offsetting movements in the components.

UK GDP in volume terms was estimated to have increased by 0.4% between Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2015 and Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2015, revised down 0.1 percentage points from the second estimate of GDP published 27 November 2015. Analysts were predicting no change. Between 2013 and 2014, GDP in volume terms increased by 2.9%, unrevised from the previous estimate and remains in line with the pre-downturn (1997 to 2007) annual average of 3.0%. Between Quarter 3 2014 and Quarter 3 2015, GDP in volume terms increased by 2.1%, revised down 0.2 percentage points from the previously published estimate.

 

In the US session Durable Goods Orders, New Home Sales and Consumer Sentiment figures were released. Businesses remain skittish about making big investments: Orders for durable or long-lasting U.S.-made goods such as computers and heavy machinery softened again in November. Orders for durable goods were flat last month following a 2.9% increase in October, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. Analysts were anticipating 0.6% decrease. And they would have fallen a sharp 1.5% if not for an large increase in orders from the Pentagon. In some industrial segments demand was robust.

 

New Home Sales showed a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 490,000, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. Analysts were anticipating rate of 507,000. That was the highest in three months. November’s tally was up 4.3% from a revised 470,000 rate in October. Sales were 9.1% higher compared to a year ago. Separate report showed that confidence ended the year on a brighter note as low prices put U.S. consumers in the holiday spirit. The University of Michigan said Wednesday that its final sentiment index for the month climbed to 92.6, the highest since July, from 91.3 in November. The median projection of economists called for a reading of 92 after December’s preliminary figure of 91.8.

 

There will be no major data releases from the UK tomorrow so we expect less volatile session, especially as tomorrow is beginning of the holiday season. In the US session Unemployment Claims figures are scheduled for a release. Analysts are predicting slight decrease to 270,000.

 

Figures to watch:

 

Unemployment Claims (Thursday 14:30)

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