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Focus of yesterday's session was on UK CPI and PPI data. UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 0.1% in the year to November 2015, compared with a 0.1% fall in the year to October 2015. This was in line with market expectations. Movements in transport costs and alcohol and tobacco prices were the main contributors to the rise in the rate. Falling clothing prices partially offset the rise. CPIH (not a National Statistic) grew by 0.4% in the year to November 2015, up from 0.2% in October 2015.

The price of goods bought and sold by UK manufacturers, as estimated by the producer price index, continued to fall in the year to November 2015. Factory gate prices (output prices) for goods produced by UK manufacturers fell 1.5% in the year to November 2015, compared with a fall of 1.4% in the year to October 2015. Core factory gate prices, which exclude the more volatile food, beverage, tobacco and petroleum products, fell 0.1% in the year to November 2015, compared with a rise of 0.3% in the year to October 2015.

 

US session was marked by CPI figures. The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in November on a seasonally adjusted basis. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 0.5% before seasonal adjustment. The indexes for energy and food declined in November, offsetting an increase in the index for all items less food and energy and resulting in the seasonally adjusted all items index being unchanged. The food index fell 0.1%, as the index for food at home fell 0.3 percent, with five of the six major grocery store food group indexes declining.

 

Wednesday will bring UK job figures. While Unemployment Rate should remain unchanged at 5.3%, number of unemployed is expected to rise by 900. In the US session, Building Permits and Housing Starts figures will be published. No significant change compared to last month is forecasted. However, the focus of the session will be on Fed rate decision, with economists anticipating rate hike for the first time in eight years. We can expect a lot of volatility with following Press Conference as well.

 

Figures to watch:

 

Average Earnings Index/Claimant Count Change/Unemployment Rate (Wednesday 10:30)

Building Permits/Housing Starts (Wednesday 14:30)

Federal Funds Rate/FOMC Statement (Wednesday 20:00)

FOMC Press Conference (Wednesday 20:30)

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