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Euro was pushed higher in the course of the last week, after ECB failed to meet market expectations considering extension of further monetary stimulus. Pair was initially pushed lower during the week but 1.05 handle managed to hold all pressures and after ECB pair bounced all the way to 1.09 handle. This is where we can expect that pair will struggle a bit since this was a bottom of recent uptrend line. With no major data releases next week, pair is likely to consolidate a bit after this huge incline.

We believe that 1.10 handle will offer some amount of resistance, since it is round and psychologically important figure. On the other hand we expect that 1.08 handle will offer some amount of support as this area proved to be both supportive and resistive in the past. On a long-term basis, we would sit at the sidelines at the moment, until we get more clear picture, which means either break above 1.10 handle which would lead towards 1.12 handle or break below 1.0750 area which would indicate return to 1.05 handle.

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