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What will Brexit look like in three months’ time? Pound traders are trying to figure it out. Wednesday marks three months until a key European leaders meeting that could shape the final divorce. That means benchmark three-month sterling volatility will start to cover the Oct. 19-20 summit for the first time. Traders need to gauge how a German election, three months of talks and political feuds in the U.K. will change the Brexit outloo

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With discussions resuming in Brussels this week, the EU’s chief negotiator Michel Barnier has said “sufficient progress” needs to be made on the terms of the separation before discussing a future trade relationship. It’s up to EU leaders to decide whether that progress has been made, as the clock ticks down to the March 2019 deadline for Britain’s exit.

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