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Events that marked the week:

On Monday Durable Goods Orders figures were published. Orders for non-military capital goods excluding aircraft fell 0.2% (est. 0.4% gain) after 0.2% increase in prior month. Shipments of those goods, which are used to calculate gross domestic product, fell 0.2% after 0.1% gain. Bookings for all durable goods fell 1.1% (est. 0.6% drop) following 0.9% decline; excluding transportation-equipment demand, which is volatile, orders rose 0.1% (est. 0.4% gain).

Tuesday brought CB Consumer Confidence figures. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, which had decreased in May, increased moderately in June. The Index now stands at 118.9 (1985=100), up from 117.6 in May. The Present Situation Index increased from 140.6 to 146.3, while the Expectations Index declined from 102.3 last month to 100.6. The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey, based on a probability-design random sample, is conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen, a leading global provider of information and analytics around what consumers buy and watch. The cutoff date for the preliminary results was June 15.

 

On Wednesday Pending Home Sales figures were published. The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, decreased 0.8 percent to 108.5 in May from a downwardly revised 109.4 in April. The index is now 1.7 percent below a year ago, which marks the second straight annual decline and the most recent since November and December of last year. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says it's clear the critically low inventory levels in much of the country somewhat sidetracked the housing market this spring.

 

Thursday was marked by sion Unemployment Claims and Final GDP data. In the week ending June 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 244,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 241,000 to 242,000. The 4-week moving average was 242,250, a decrease of 2,750 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 250 from 244,750 to 245,000.

 

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the first quarter of 2017, according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2016, real GDP increased 2.1 percent. With the third estimate for the first quarter, personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and exports increased more than previously estimated, but the general picture of economic growth remains the same.

 

In the US session Chicago PMI data was released.  The MNI Chicago Business Barometer rose to 65.7 in June from 59.4 in May, the highest level in over three years. Optimism among firms about business conditions rose for the fifth consecutive month. Four of the five Barometer components led June’s increase, with only Employment falling, albeit slightly. Successive rises in the barometer left the Q2 calendar quarter average at 61.1, significantly above Q1’s 55.1, and the highest level since Q2 2014.

 

This week markets will be looking at:

 

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Monday 16:00)

FOMC Meeting Minutes (Wednesday 20:00)

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (Thursday 14:15)

Unemployment Claims (Thursday 14:30)

Trade Balance (Thursday 14:30)

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Thursday 16:00)

Non-Farm Employment Change/Unemployment Rate (Friday 14:30)

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