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Business conditions eased slightly in May, but are holding up at elevated levels. The business conditions index fell 1 point, to +12 index points, which is well above the long-run average (+5). In contrast, business confidence is looking less buoyant, although it has remained above long-run average levels. The confidence index dropped 6 points in May, to +7 index points – compared to a long-run average of +6 for the series.

According to Mr Alan Oster, NAB’s Chief economist, “The business sector is looking quite upbeat, maintaining the apparent disconnect with a rather melancholy household sector. It is good to see that the strength has been quite broad-based, and even at the state level we have seen some significant improvements in Western Australia, which signals that the worst of the mining sector drag is probably behind us”.

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