The higher than expected inflation rate increased speculation that the Bank of England would be forced to tighten monetary policy more quickly than expected. This shift in expectations was fueled by last week’s policy decision where Forbes voted to increase interest rates immediately due to inflation concerns. Some other MPC members also suggested that a further increase in inflation could push them closer to recommending a rate hike sooner than expected.
UK CPI surged by 2.3%
UK consumer prices rose 0.7% in February compared with expectations of a 0.5% increase and the year-on-year rate increased to 2.3% from 1.8%. This was above consensus forecasts of an increase to 2.1% and was also the highest reading since September 2013. The annual rate was also above the Bank of England’s 2% target for the first time since late 2013. Core inflation rose to 2.0% from 1.6% previously while the RPI inflation rate increased to 3.2% from 2.6%.
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