The Reserve Bank has put a positive spin on the local jobs outlook, but says another rate cut could be on the cards because of weak
inflation. Economists are divided about whether the
central bank will lower its cash rate from a record low 2.0 per cent, with some tipping two cuts in 2016 while others expect the RBA to sit tight for the rest of the year.
In the minutes of the central bank's March board meeting, released on Tuesday, members acknowledged that employment growth stalled in January following a surge in late 2015, while unemployment climbed back up to six per cent. "Nevertheless, conditions in the labour market had clearly improved since early 2015," the RBA said.
"Leading indicators of employment had increased further and were consistent with employment growth in the months ahead." But the central bank said low inflation will allow it to cut the cash rate if jobs growth flattens out or the global economy goes into meltdown. "Continued low inflation would provide scope to ease policy further, should that be appropriate to lend support to demand," the minutes said.
Aussie is currently being traded around 0.75 area. Pair is likely to find support around 0.7450 handle and resistance above 0.7550 level. Later today, in the US session,
Retail Sales,
PPI and Empire State Manufacturing Index figures are scheduled for a release.