UK house prices increased by 0.8% in December, with the annual pace of house price growth picking up to 4.5%, from 3.7% in November. Analysts were anticipating 0.4% increase. After moderating during the first six months of 2015, house price growth remained in a narrow range between 3% and 4.5% in the second half of the year. This is broadly in line with earnings growth and close to the pace we would expect to prevail over the longer term.
However, as we look ahead to 2016, the risks are skewed towards a modest acceleration in house price growth, at least at the national level, despite the likelihood of
interest rate increases from the middle of next year. Further healthy gains in employment and rising wages are likely to bolster buyer sentiment, while borrowing costs are expected to rise only gradually. However, the main concern is that construction activity will lag behind strengthening demand, putting upward pressure on house prices and eventually reducing affordability.
Sterling is currently being traded around 1.48 handle. Pair is likely to find support around 1.4750 handle and resistance above 1.4850 level. Later today, in the US session,
Pending Home Sales figures are scheduled for a release.