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Events that marked the week:

On Monday ISM Manufacturing PMI figures were released. The October ISM Manufacturing PMI registered 50.1 percent, a decrease of 0.1 percentage point from the September reading of 50.2 percent, in line with market forecasts.Comments from the panel reflect concern over the high price of the dollar and the continuing low price of oil, mixed with cautious optimism about steady to increasing demand in several industries.

Wednesday's session was marked by ADP job figures, Trade Balance and Non-Manufacturing PMI figures. Private-sector employment increased by 182,000 from September to October, on a seasonally adjusted basis, in line with expectations. "Firm size contributions to October employment gains returned to the same pattern we had been seeing for some time prior to September as small businesses rebounded to account for almost half the jobs added,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, VP and head of the ADP Research Institute. 

 

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $40.8 billion in September, down $7.2 billion from $48.0 billion in August, revised. Analysts were anticipating deficit of $42.7billion. September exports were $187.9 billion, $3.0 billion more than August exports. September imports were $228.7 billion, $4.2 billion less than August imports.

 

The Non-Manufacturing PMI registered 59.1 percent in October, 2.2 percentage points higher than the September reading of 56.9 percent, and above predicted reading of 56.6. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a faster rate. According to the NMI, 14 non-manufacturing industries reported growth in October. After the slight cooling off in September, the non-manufacturing sector reflected growth across most of the indexes. Respondents remain mostly positive about business conditions and the overall economy.

 

Thursday brought Unemployment Claims figures. In the week ending October 31, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 276,000, an increase of 16,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 260,000. Analysts were anticipating increase to 263,000. The 4-week moving average was 262,750, an increase of 3,500 from the previous week's unrevised average of 259,250. 

 

Focus of the Friday's session was on NFP figures. Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 271,000 in October. Analysts were predicting increase by 181,000. Over the prior 12 months, employment growth had averaged 230,000 per month. In October, job gains occurred in professional and business services, health care, retail trade, food services and drinking places, and construction. Unemployment rate was essentially unchanged at 5.0%.

 

This week markets will be looking at:

 

Unemployment Claims (Thursday 14:30)

Retail Sales (Friday 14:30)

PPI (Friday 14:30)

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment (Friday 16:00)

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