After it came near 1.58 handle in post-election period, Sterling gradually fell in the past few sessions and us currently being traded slightly above 1.54 handle. However, this a rebound after yesterday's decline all the way to 1.5350 area and we are actually sitting at key support area. If we see break below hammer formed yesterday, pair is likely to head towards 1.50 handle given enough time. On the other hand, decisive break above 1.55 handle would push pair back to 1.57 handle.
Traders are also being cautious at the moment as they are evaluating several things waiting for UK and US
GDP data scheduled for a releases later in the week. After David Cameron's election victory the next question is possible British exit from EU.
BoE recently confirmed that is will assessing conditions in a case this happens and this would be a huge market mover.
However, BoE rate hike still remains the main issue.
Despite stability in the labour market, inflation fell to deflation area for the first time since 1960. what, though still seen as only short-term trend, would be of major impact on future monetary policy. For now, we cannot expect any rate hike before well into next year, but we can be sure there will be no additional cut.
As for today, pair is likely to find support around 1.5350 handle and resistance near 1.5460 area. There will be no major data releases in the rest of the session.