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From Australia, yesterday, NAB Business Confidence figures were released. NAB Business Confidence increased from +1 to +2, but this only masks the fact that it was a move of just 0.1 which saw the figure rounded up this month. NAB Chief Economist Alan Oster said in a note accompanying the release: "With soft business confidence and weak forward orders there is doubt that the strength in the official estimates can be maintained." Oster says and he still expects, “two rate cuts in 2015 but timing very dependent on data flow and could start a touch later.”

In the US session Durable Goods Orders, CB Consumer Confidence and New Home Sales data was released. New orders for manufactured durable goods in December decreased $8.1 billion or 3.4% to $230.5 billion, missing predictions on 0.6% increase. This decrease, down four of the last five months, followed a 2.1% November decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.8%, also below expectations on 0.6% incline.

 

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, which had increased in December, rose sharply in January. The Index now stands at 102.9 (1985=100), up from 93.1 in December. Analysts were anticipating smaller increase to 95.2.The Present Situation Index rose to 112.6 from 99.9, while the Expectations Index increased to 96.4 from 88.5 in December.

 

Separate report showed that sales of new single-family houses in December 2014 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 481,000, above expected rate of 452,000. This is 11.6% above the revised November rate of 431,000 and is 8.8% above the December 2013 estimate of 442,000.

 

Wednesday will bring Australian quarterly CPI data. Analysts forecast incline by 0.3%, and by 0.5% in Core CPI. Focus of the US session will be on FOMC interest rate decision. No change is anticipated this month, however, following statement is likely to bring a lot of market volatility.

 

Figures to watch:

 

CPI (Wednesday 1:30)

Federal Funds Rate/FOMC Statement (Wednesday 20:00)

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