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There were no data releases from Australia yesterday, with Aussie going slightly up. The remarkable rise of the iron ore price has helped strengthen the Australian dollar recently. This rise, fueled by Chinese demand for steel, is expected to be short-lived. This should cause the Australian dollar to weaken from where it is currently, as well as iron ore related stocks.  Due to demand being strong and prices being high, idled plants are now expected to come online which will of course mean that supply increases. We expect supply will grow to a rate that knocks the steel price back down to where it started, which of course will then take the iron ore price back down with too.

In the US session Durable Goods Orders and CB Consumer Confidence figures were released. Orders for U.S. durable goods climbed less than forecast in March as demand for capital equipment remained weak, a sign that a diminished growth outlook is impeding investment. Bookings for items meant to last at least three years rose 0.8% after a revised 3.1% slump a month earlier, data from the Commerce Department showed Tuesday.  The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey called for a 1.9% advance. Orders for business equipment were little changed last month, also weaker than projected.

 

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, which had increased in March, declined moderately in April. The Index now stands at 94.2, down from 96.1 in March. The Present Situation Index increased from 114.9 to 116.4, while the Expectations Index decreased from 83.6 to 79.3 in April. “Consumer confidence continued on its sideways path, posting a slight decline in April, following a modest gain in March,” said Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board. 

 

Tomorrow, from Australia, CPI data will be published. 0.3% increase is anticipated. In the US session Pending Home Sales figures will be released. Analysts are predicting 0.3% increase. However, the focus of the session will be on FOMC interest rate decision and the following statement which should bring a lot of volatility to the markets though rate should remain unchanged.

 

Figures to watch:

 

CPI (Wednesday 3:30)

Pending Home Sales (Wednesday 16:00)

Federal Funds Rate/FOMC Statement (Wednesday 20:00)

Last modified on Tuesday, 26 April 2016

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